Al Hazm 1-3 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.24
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.55
6+ Goals
12%
14.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.55 — our 26% vs market 22.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 43%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.27/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.59
-13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
19.2 Crosses 19.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hazm
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Fayha
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 291
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
07.05.2022 Al Hazm Al Hazm 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
05.11.2021 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
07.02.2020 Al Hazm Al Hazm 4-2 HT 3-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
29.08.2019 Al Fayha Al Fayha 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
02.03.2019 Al Hazm Al Hazm 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hazm
1-3
AWAY Al Fayha
1.73 xG 2.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
433 Passes 393
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
33 Box Touches 27
29 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Hazm vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fayha saw off Al Hazm 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Fayha as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Hazm had 52% of the ball to Al Fayha's 48%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.73 to 2.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fayha led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Hazm and 1.17 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Al Hazm vs Al Fayha?

Al Hazm 1-3 Al Fayha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hazm vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Fayha win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Hazm 34%, draw 25%, Al Fayha 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fayha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Fayha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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