Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -20%
1.13/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.27
-5% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Danubio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
23.04.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 2-1 HT 1-1 Danubio Danubio URU
08.10.2022 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
15.05.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
18.02.2021 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
26.08.2020 Danubio Danubio 2-0 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
1-2
AWAY Danubio
58% Ball Possession 42%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Centro Atletico Fenix vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio edged past Centro Atletico Fenix 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Danubio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Centro Atletico Fenix had 58% of the ball to Danubio's 42%, shots finished 4-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Centro Atletico Fenix and 0.83 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Centro Atletico Fenix vs Danubio?

Centro Atletico Fenix 1-2 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Centro Atletico Fenix vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Centro Atletico Fenix win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Centro Atletico Fenix 38%, draw 28%, Danubio 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Centro Atletico Fenix) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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