Nacional de Football vs CA River Plate Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional de Football v CA River Plate — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs CA River Plate Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Nacional de Football
URU
3-0
HT 1-0
CA River Plate
URU
1-1
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
CA River Plate
URU
4-2
HT 1-1
CA River Plate
URU
2-0
HT 1-0
Nacional de Football
URU
Nacional de Football 2-1 CA River Plate — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football nicked a narrow win over CA River Plate 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 58% of the ball to CA River Plate's 42%, shots finished 13-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nacional de Football and 1.00 for CA River Plate.
What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs CA River Plate?
Nacional de Football 2-1 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs CA River Plate?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 47%, draw 29%, CA River Plate 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.