Caracas FC 0-1 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
2.13/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.38
+23% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
17.4 Crosses 16.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.76 xG 1.43
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
278 Passes 218
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
05.11.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
30.10.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
03.09.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
03.03.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
28.08.2022 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
27.03.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
0-1
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.05 xG 0.62
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
331 Passes 220
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa FC edged past Caracas FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Caracas FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Caracas FC had 58% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 42%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.05 to 0.62 — on chances, Caracas FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portuguesa FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Caracas FC and 1.33 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC?

Caracas FC 0-1 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 52%, draw 27%, Portuguesa FC 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Caracas FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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