Metropolitanos 3-1 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.5pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.5pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.53/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.14
+2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
19.6 Crosses 18.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zamora
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.48 xG 0.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 Passes 226
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Zamora Zamora 4-1 HT 1-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
26.02.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-2 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
16.10.2022 Zamora Zamora 0-0 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
09.10.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-0 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
31.07.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-0 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
23.04.2022 Zamora Zamora 0-1 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
3-1
AWAY Zamora
1.47 xG 0.96
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
294 Passes 202
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos beat Zamora 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Metropolitanos as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 58% of the ball to Zamora's 42%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.47 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.00 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Zamora?

Metropolitanos 3-1 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 41%, draw 33%, Zamora 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metropolitanos), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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