Atromitos 0-2 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 17 Feb 2024

Atromitos
0-2 HT 0-1
Aris Saloniki
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Atromitos vs Aris Saloniki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.2
6+ Goals
8%
20.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 33% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.99
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
6.55
X/2
12%
4.67
X/X
12%
3.96
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.08
2/X
9%
12.9
Value flag · X/1 at 6.55 — our 20% vs market 11.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-4.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atromitos v Aris Saloniki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 46%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
0.79/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.01
-17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
15.5 Crosses 13.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Atromitos vs Aris Saloniki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.80 xG 1.34
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
266 Passes 448
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-3 HT 1-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
26.02.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-1 HT 2-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
05.11.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 0-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
23.02.2022 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
27.09.2021 Atromitos Atromitos 1-3 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
28.02.2021 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN

Atromitos 0-2 Aris Saloniki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
0-2
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.47 xG 1.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 3
378 Passes 254
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki got the better of Atromitos 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Aris Saloniki made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Atromitos had 57% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 43%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.47 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atromitos and 2.00 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs Aris Saloniki?

Atromitos 0-2 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 35%, draw 27%, Aris Saloniki 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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