Panathinaikos 2-2 Lamia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 17 Feb 2024

Panathinaikos
2-2 HT 1-1
Lamia
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Panathinaikos vs Lamia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.87
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.11 — our 27% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.6
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
22.9
X/1
23%
3.24
X/2
5%
15.7
X/X
6%
7.18
2/1
9%
22.05
2/2
7%
12.9
2/X
6%
23.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
71%
-6.0pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.7pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panathinaikos v Lamia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamia EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.77/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.45
-2% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
20.5 Crosses 11.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Panathinaikos vs Lamia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Lamia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.25 xG 0.62
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
473 Passes 219
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
05.02.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
16.10.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
27.04.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
20.04.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUK
13.02.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUN

Panathinaikos 2-2 Lamia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-2
AWAY Lamia
1.85 xG 0.59
79% Ball Possession 21%
30 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
578 Passes 114
89% Pass Accuracy 63%
55 Box Touches 10
58 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Lamia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos and Lamia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Panathinaikos carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 79% of the ball to Lamia's 21%, shots finished 30-4, expected goals 1.85 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Panathinaikos and 0.17 for Lamia.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Lamia?

Panathinaikos 2-2 Lamia in the Greece - Super League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Lamia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 65%, draw 19%, Lamia 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Panathinaikos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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