Forest Rangers 2-1 Mutondo Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Zambiya - Super League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
12.23
Draw
28%
7.13
Away
52%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No Pick
61%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
20%
Home Win
6%
+13.6pp
28%
Draw
12%
+16.3pp
52%
Away Win
82%
-29.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Rangers The Market 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Mutondo Stars The Market 85%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -96% / -96%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -83%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
202 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 543 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Forest Rangers vs Mutondo Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Rangers squeezed past Mutondo Stars 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mutondo Stars at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Forest Rangers vs Mutondo Stars?

Forest Rangers 2-1 Mutondo Stars in the Zambiya - Super League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Rangers vs Mutondo Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mutondo Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Forest Rangers 20%, draw 28%, Mutondo Stars 52%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mutondo Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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