Defensores De Belgrano 1-1 Agropecuario Argentino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.27
No
66%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-6.1pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.83/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.35
-33% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
02.07.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 0-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
28.02.2023 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 2-1 HT 1-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
21.05.2022 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs Agropecuario Argentino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano and Agropecuario Argentino shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Defensores De Belgrano at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.67 for Agropecuario Argentino.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Defensores De Belgrano 1-1 Agropecuario Argentino in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores De Belgrano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 42%, draw 31%, Agropecuario Argentino 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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