Deportivo Maipu 2-0 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-4.5pp
36%
Draw
33%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.7pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
0.95/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.96
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Quilmes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
13.10.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 3-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
26.05.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-1 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
27.08.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 1-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
16.04.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 0-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
08.10.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
22.08.2021 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu saw off Quilmes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 36% / 31% — and on the day Deportivo Maipu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Quilmes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 1.00 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?

Deportivo Maipu 2-0 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 33%, draw 36%, Quilmes 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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