Deportivo Maipu 1-1 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 May 2024

Deportivo Maipu
1-1 HT 0-1
Quilmes
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.7pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Maipu v Quilmes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.25/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.07
+6% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Quilmes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 1-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
16.04.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 0-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
08.10.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
22.08.2021 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
11.04.2021 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 2-1 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu and Quilmes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 34% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maipu had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 0.60 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?

Deportivo Maipu 1-1 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 33%, draw 34%, Quilmes 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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