Quilmes 3-0 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Oct 2024

Quilmes
3-0
Deportivo Maipu
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Quilmes vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Quilmes v Deportivo Maipu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.44/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.30
+13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Quilmes vs Deportivo Maipu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.05.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-1 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
27.08.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 1-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
16.04.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 0-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
08.10.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
22.08.2021 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
11.04.2021 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 2-1 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes ran out comfortable winners over Deportivo Maipu 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Quilmes as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maipu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Quilmes and 1.00 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Deportivo Maipu?

Quilmes 3-0 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 45%, draw 26%, Deportivo Maipu 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quilmes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Quilmes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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