Nueva Chicago 1-1 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Oct 2024

Nueva Chicago
1-1
Deportivo Moron
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Moron Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.53
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.7pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.7pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nueva Chicago v Deportivo Moron — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.88/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.21
+40% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Moron Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
The Meetings
26.05.2024 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
24.09.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
13.05.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
15.08.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
09.02.2020 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
01.03.2014 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-1 HT 0-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago and Deportivo Moron shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Nueva Chicago at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Moron led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nueva Chicago and 0.50 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Moron?

Nueva Chicago 1-1 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 45%, draw 34%, Deportivo Moron 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nueva Chicago), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nueva Chicago) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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