Chacarita Juniors 2-1 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.43/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.29
+26% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Alvarado
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
26.05.2024 Alvarado Alvarado 2-1 HT 1-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
27.03.2022 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 5-0 HT 2-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
03.11.2021 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 0-2 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
05.07.2021 Alvarado Alvarado 2-1 HT 1-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chacarita Juniors nicked a narrow win over Alvarado 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Chacarita Juniors made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alvarado led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 1.50 for Alvarado.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs Alvarado?

Chacarita Juniors 2-1 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chacarita Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 38%, draw 31%, Alvarado 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chacarita Juniors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chacarita Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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