Sakandary 1-0 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
36%
2.7
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.33
Over 2.5
34%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.6
No
53%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
13%
8.12
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.3pp
36%
Draw
34%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
72%
-5.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
28%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
34%
+12.7pp
53%
BTTS No
66%
-12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakandary EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
1.41/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.28
+34% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
18.6 Crosses 15.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakandary
1W-1D-4L
AWAY El Gounah
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.85 xG 1.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
253 Passes 228
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 2-1 HT 0-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
06.10.2023 Sakandary Sakandary 2-2 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
27.05.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 1-0 HT 0-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
18.11.2021 Sakandary Sakandary 1-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
25.05.2021 Sakandary Sakandary 0-1 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
14.01.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 2-0 HT 1-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakandary
1-0
AWAY El Gounah
0.65 xG 0.29
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
487 Passes 171
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sakandary vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakandary edged past El Gounah 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 36% / 29% — and on the day Sakandary made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Sakandary had 69% of the ball to El Gounah's 31%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.65 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Gounah led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sakandary and 1.33 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Sakandary vs El Gounah?

Sakandary 1-0 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakandary vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sakandary 35%, draw 36%, El Gounah 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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