El Gounah 2-1 Sakandary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 35% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.6pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Gounah EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakandary EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +11%
0.95/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.04
-5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.5 Crosses 20.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Gounah
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sakandary
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.28 xG 0.82
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
222 Passes 247
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2023 Sakandary Sakandary 2-2 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
27.05.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 1-0 HT 0-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
18.11.2021 Sakandary Sakandary 1-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
25.05.2021 Sakandary Sakandary 0-1 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
14.01.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 2-0 HT 1-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
14.08.2020 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 0-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Gounah
2-1
AWAY Sakandary
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH El Gounah vs Sakandary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Gounah edged past Sakandary 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; El Gounah found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Gounah had 57% of the ball to Sakandary's 43%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Gounah had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for El Gounah and 0.67 for Sakandary.

What was the final score of El Gounah vs Sakandary?

El Gounah 2-1 Sakandary in the Egypt - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Sakandary?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sakandary win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 35%, draw 29%, Sakandary 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sakandary) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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