Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0-3 Masr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.48
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.8
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.5pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Masr EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.93/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.28
+23% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -52%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
214 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 75%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
14.3 Crosses 10.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Masr
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.28 xG 0.95
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
210 Passes 349
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2023 Masr 3-3 HT 3-2 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0-3
AWAY Masr
0.76 xG 2.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
247 Passes 214
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
12 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Masr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr swept aside Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Masr as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla had 53% of the ball to Masr's 47%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.76 to 2.73.

What was the final score of Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Masr?

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0-3 Masr in the Egypt - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Masr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 31%, draw 28%, Masr 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Masr), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Masr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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