Pogon Siedlce 1-1 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.7pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-7.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 57%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
0.73/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.66
-25% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / -41%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
210 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Siedlce
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.08.2024 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
01.12.2021 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-1 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL2
30.07.2021 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-1 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Siedlce
1-1
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pogon Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Siedlce and Ruch Chorzow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ruch Chorzow at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 43% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 57%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pogon Siedlce and 1.00 for Ruch Chorzow.

What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzow?

Pogon Siedlce 1-1 Ruch Chorzow in the Poland - 1st Division on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 24%, draw 30%, Ruch Chorzow 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ruch Chorzow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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