Rayong FC 2-3 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.9
Over 2.5
58%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.2pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
49%
-7.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
51%
+7.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.75/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.89
+67% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
16.0 Crosses 16.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayong FC
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.54 xG 2.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
169 Passes 267
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
7 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 4-1 HT 2-1 Rayong FC TAY
02.04.2022 Rayong FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY1
17.11.2021 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 2-0 HT 0-0 Rayong FC TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayong FC
2-3
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
2.45 xG 1.11
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
278 Passes 177
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamphun Warrior nicked a narrow win over Rayong FC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 21% / 42%) promised a tight game; Lamphun Warrior found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rayong FC had 58% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 42%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.45 to 1.11 — on chances, Rayong FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lamphun Warrior led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rayong FC and 2.33 for Lamphun Warrior.

What was the final score of Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior?

Rayong FC 2-3 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayong FC vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lamphun Warrior win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rayong FC 37%, draw 21%, Lamphun Warrior 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lamphun Warrior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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