Elgin City 1-6 East Kilbride — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 17 Feb 2026

📅17/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
45%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.57
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
7.19
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.7 — our 32% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.1pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.0pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+7.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.5pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY East Kilbride EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.42/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/2.16
+7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
0W-0D-3L
AWAY East Kilbride
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
18.10.2025 East Kilbride East Kilbride 3-0 HT 3-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
09.08.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 0-1 HT 0-0 East Kilbride East Kilbride İK2
19.07.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 1-4 HT 1-2 East Kilbride East Kilbride İKLK
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs East Kilbride
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Kilbride ran out comfortable winners over Elgin City 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had East Kilbride as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, East Kilbride led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Elgin City and 2.67 for East Kilbride.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs East Kilbride?

Elgin City 1-6 East Kilbride in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs East Kilbride?

Before kick-off our model rated an East Kilbride win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 35%, draw 20%, East Kilbride 45%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Kilbride), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (East Kilbride) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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