Elgin City 1-4 East Kilbride — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.38
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.5
No
37%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
17%
6.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-0.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
+0.5pp
37%
BTTS No
38%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY East Kilbride EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs East Kilbride
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Kilbride ran out comfortable winners over Elgin City 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had East Kilbride as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs East Kilbride?

Elgin City 1-4 East Kilbride in the Scotland - League Cup on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs East Kilbride?

Before kick-off our model rated an East Kilbride win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 31%, draw 20%, East Kilbride 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Kilbride), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (East Kilbride) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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