Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 17 Feb 2026

Borussia Dortmund
2 - 0 HT 2 - 0
Atalanta
📅17/02/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Champions League – 2025/2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.86
Over
51%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.18
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
23%
3.51
6+
6%
13.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.74
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
17%
4.72
X/2
9%
7.47
X/X
16%
4.68
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
14%
5.59
2/X
5%
13.95
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Borussia Dortmund v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Borussia Dortmund The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta The Market 30%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.03 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.42
1.18 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.27
Great Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Great
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
449 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
32 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2

Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Atalanta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.45 xG 1.61
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
484 Passes 271
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.02.2018 Atalanta Atalanta 1-1 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AVL
15.02.2018 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3-2 HT 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta AVL
01.08.2017 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-1 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta HAZ

Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund
2 - 0
AWAY Atalanta
2.10 xG 0.47
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
346 Passes 451
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Borussia Dortmund got the better of Atalanta 2-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Borussia Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund had 44% of the ball to Atalanta's 56%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 2.10 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.33 for Atalanta.

Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Result & Final Score

Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Atalanta in the Champions League on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 48%, draw 26%, Atalanta 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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