Guangzhou Evergrande 3-1 Hebei Kungfu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
50%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.38
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.04
6+ Goals
6%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.1pp
50%
Away Win
42%
+7.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.3pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.85/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.60
-7% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +104%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 479 · 83%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
16.4 Crosses 16.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.39 xG 0.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
190 Passes 176
64% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande 0-3 HT 0-2 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
10.05.2023 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 2-0 HT 1-0 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangzhou Evergrande
3-1
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
2.13 xG 0.52
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 198
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guangzhou Evergrande vs Hebei Kungfu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangzhou Evergrande beat Hebei Kungfu 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hebei Kungfu at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guangzhou Evergrande had 58% of the ball to Hebei Kungfu's 42%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.13 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hebei Kungfu led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Guangzhou Evergrande and 2.50 for Hebei Kungfu.

What was the final score of Guangzhou Evergrande vs Hebei Kungfu?

Guangzhou Evergrande 3-1 Hebei Kungfu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangzhou Evergrande vs Hebei Kungfu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hebei Kungfu win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Guangzhou Evergrande 27%, draw 23%, Hebei Kungfu 50%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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