AGMK 3-1 Dinamo Samarqand — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Özbekistan - PFL, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
14%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
64%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.0pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGMK EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Samarqand EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.12/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.49
+40% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGMK
3-1
AWAY Dinamo Samarqand
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
POST-MATCH AGMK vs Dinamo Samarqand
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGMK beat Dinamo Samarqand 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AGMK as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AGMK had 50% of the ball to Dinamo Samarqand's 50%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of AGMK vs Dinamo Samarqand?

AGMK 3-1 Dinamo Samarqand in the Özbekistan - PFL on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGMK vs Dinamo Samarqand?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGMK win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split AGMK 62%, draw 24%, Dinamo Samarqand 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGMK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AGMK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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