Bunyodkor 2-2 Navbahor Namangan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Özbekistan - PFL, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.29
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
73%
-18.3pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.5pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bunyodkor EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Navbahor Namangan EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.10/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.49
+20% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bunyodkor
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Navbahor Namangan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.05.2022 Navbahor Namangan Navbahor Namangan 2-1 HT 1-0 Bunyodkor Bunyodkor ÖZB
18.05.2021 Bunyodkor Bunyodkor 0-0 HT 0-0 Navbahor Namangan Navbahor Namangan ÖZB
27.10.2020 Navbahor Namangan Navbahor Namangan 2-1 HT 1-1 Bunyodkor Bunyodkor ÖZB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bunyodkor
2-2
AWAY Navbahor Namangan
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Bunyodkor vs Navbahor Namangan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bunyodkor and Navbahor Namangan shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Bunyodkor carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bunyodkor had 47% of the ball to Navbahor Namangan's 53%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Navbahor Namangan led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bunyodkor and 1.33 for Navbahor Namangan.

What was the final score of Bunyodkor vs Navbahor Namangan?

Bunyodkor 2-2 Navbahor Namangan in the Özbekistan - PFL on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bunyodkor vs Navbahor Namangan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bunyodkor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bunyodkor 55%, draw 22%, Navbahor Namangan 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bunyodkor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bunyodkor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÖZB More Özbekistan - PFL
17 Mar 2024
16:45 AGMK vs Dinamo Samarqand Analysis →