Zürich 2-2 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
3.8
2-3 Goals
47%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 22% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.69
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
20.0
X/1
12%
3.43
X/2
5%
15.0
X/X
15%
6.43
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
7%
12.3
2/X
8%
20.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
67%
-14.2pp
30%
Draw
20%
+9.6pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 16%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.69/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.97
-25% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +42%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.5 Crosses 7.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.50 xG 0.97
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
271 Passes 259
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 1-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV
12.08.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 0-3 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
24.10.2017 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-4 HT 1-2 Zürich Zürich İSVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
2-2
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.43 xG 1.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
364 Passes 338
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich and Stade Ouchy shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Zürich at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zürich had 51% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 49%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.43 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zürich had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Zürich and 0.67 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Stade Ouchy?

Zürich 2-2 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland - Super League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Zürich 52%, draw 30%, Stade Ouchy 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zürich), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zürich) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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