Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 17 Mar 2024

Borussia Dortmund
3-1 HT 1-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.17
2-3 Goals
37%
2.08
4-5 Goals
30%
2.55
6+ Goals
13%
5.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.04
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
16%
4.36
X/2
10%
10.1
X/X
9%
6.7
2/1
7%
19.3
2/2
9%
6.43
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.1pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
2.22/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.68
+65% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
16.6 Crosses 15.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.79 xG 1.58
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
454 Passes 334
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3 HT 2-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
22.04.2023 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 4-0 HT 3-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
29.10.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 HT 1-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
08.01.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-3 HT 2-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
14.08.2021 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 5-2 HT 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
03.04.2021 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1-2 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1

Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund
3-1
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
2.27 xG 0.91
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
601 Passes 266
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund beat Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Borussia Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund had 66% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 34%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.27 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.67 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 50%, draw 22%, Eintracht Frankfurt 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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