Duisburg (K) 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
16.01
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
66%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.6
No
54%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
24%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
38%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
4%
+9.5pp
21%
Draw
11%
+9.6pp
66%
Away Win
85%
-19.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
34%
+11.7pp
54%
BTTS No
66%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Duisburg (K) EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -85% / -85%
0.33/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/0.49
-100% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -56%
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
236 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 506 · 85%
6.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
12.0 Crosses 24.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Duisburg (K)
1-2
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt (K)
0.04 xG 2.67
28% Ball Possession 72%
2 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
189 Passes 665
64% Pass Accuracy 87%
2 Box Touches 37
8 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Duisburg (K) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt (K) nicked a narrow win over Duisburg (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eintracht Frankfurt (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Duisburg (K) had 28% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt (K)'s 72%, shots finished 2-21, expected goals 0.04 to 2.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Eintracht Frankfurt (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Duisburg (K) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (K)?

Duisburg (K) 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Duisburg (K) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eintracht Frankfurt (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Duisburg (K) 13%, draw 21%, Eintracht Frankfurt (K) 66%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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