Nürnberg (K) 0-0 Freiburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
57%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.59
Over 2.5
68%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.6
No
37%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.1pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.6pp
57%
Away Win
64%
-6.6pp
32%
Under 2.5
35%
-2.5pp
68%
Over 2.5
65%
+2.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.9pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg (K)
0-0
AWAY Freiburg (K)
0.13 xG 1.58
32% Ball Possession 68%
3 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
104 Passes 335
44% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 41
3 Crosses 38
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nürnberg (K) vs Freiburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg (K) and Freiburg (K) fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Freiburg (K) at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nürnberg (K) had 32% of the ball to Freiburg (K)'s 68%, shots finished 3-17, expected goals 0.13 to 1.58.

What was the final score of Nürnberg (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Nürnberg (K) 0-0 Freiburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg (K) 27%, draw 16%, Freiburg (K) 57%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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