17/03/2024
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Liniers vs Midland Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
Over
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Total Goals
0-1
45%
2-3
28%
4-5
21%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
44%
Home Win
31%
22%
Draw
26%
34%
Away Win
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liniers v Midland — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Liniers
The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Midland
The Market 48%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
6
338 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
321 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Liniers vs Midland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Liniers saw off Midland 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Liniers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Liniers vs Midland?
Liniers 2-0 Midland in the Argentina - Primier B Metropol on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liniers vs Midland?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liniers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Liniers 44%, draw 22%, Midland 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liniers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Liniers)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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