Sportivo Italiano 2-2 Canuelas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Primier B Metropol, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.05
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
50%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No Pick
54%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
49%
4-5
22%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
45%
-14.5pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.9pp
50%
Away Win
30%
+19.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Italiano The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Canuelas The Market 34%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
0.95/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sportivo Italiano vs Canuelas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Italiano and Canuelas couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Canuelas at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Sportivo Italiano vs Canuelas?

Sportivo Italiano 2-2 Canuelas in the Argentina - Primier B Metropol on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Italiano vs Canuelas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Canuelas win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Italiano 30%, draw 20%, Canuelas 50%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Canuelas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBM More Argentina - Primier B Metropol
17 Mar 2024
21:30 Dock Sud vs Sacachispas Analysis →
21:30 Flandria vs Deportivo Merlo Analysis →
21:30 Liniers vs Midland Analysis →