Sumqayıt 1-2 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 17 Mar 2024

Sumqayıt
1-2 HT 0-1
Sabah
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Sumqayıt vs Sabah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sumqayıt v Sabah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
0.89/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.14
-25% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Sumqayıt vs Sabah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sabah
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.10.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
21.10.2023 Sabah Sabah 3-1 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
17.05.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-4 HT 0-3 Sabah Sabah AZERS
10.03.2023 Sabah Sabah 4-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
23.12.2022 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-6 HT 0-4 Sabah Sabah AZERS
07.08.2022 Sabah Sabah 3-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah edged past Sumqayıt 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Sabah found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sumqayıt and 3.33 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Sabah?

Sumqayıt 1-2 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 31%, draw 31%, Sabah 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
17 Mar 2024
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