Turan Tovuz vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Turan Tovuz v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals
Turan Tovuz vs Karabağ Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Karabağ
AZERS
3-0
HT 1-0
Turan Tovuz
AZERS
2-3
HT 1-2
Karabağ
AZERS
0-2
HT 0-2
Karabağ
AZERS
3-0
HT 2-0
Turan Tovuz
AZERS
Karabağ got the better of Turan Tovuz 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Turan Tovuz and 2.60 for Karabağ.
What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Karabağ?
Turan Tovuz 1-3 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Karabağ?
Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 24%, draw 25%, Karabağ 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.