Delfin 2-0 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.53/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.20
+0% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
17.8 Crosses 14.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
226 Passes 262
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2023 Delfin Delfin 2-2 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
20.06.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 3-0 HT 2-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
06.09.2022 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
20.04.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
27.07.2021 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 1-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
21.02.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-1 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
2-0
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
2.21 xG 0.19
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
172 Passes 229
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
9 Box Touches 10
8 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Tecnico Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin got the better of Tecnico Universitario 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Delfin as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Delfin had 43% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 57%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 2.21 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Delfin and 1.17 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Tecnico Universitario?

Delfin 2-0 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Delfin 43%, draw 30%, Tecnico Universitario 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Delfin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Delfin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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