Uni. Catolica 3-3 Deportivo Cuenca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 17 Mar 2024

Uni. Catolica
3-3 HT 0-2
Deportivo Cuenca
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Uni. Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-12.6pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.65/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.56
-7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 70%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
21.1 Crosses 15.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Uni. Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 1.32
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
356 Passes 256
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-3 HT 1-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
06.05.2023 Uni. Catolica 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
08.08.2022 Uni. Catolica 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
22.03.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-2 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.10.2021 Uni. Catolica 3-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
18.04.2021 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1

Uni. Catolica 3-3 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
3-3
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
2.48 xG 1.57
61% Ball Possession 39%
26 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
403 Passes 235
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica and Deportivo Cuenca shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Uni. Catolica at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 61% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 39%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 2.48 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.00 for Deportivo Cuenca.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Uni. Catolica 3-3 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 50%, draw 29%, Deportivo Cuenca 22%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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