17/03/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Gandzasar vs Noah II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
12%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
44%
Home Win
51%
28%
Draw
26%
28%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gandzasar v Noah II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gandzasar
The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Noah II
The Market 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
16
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
372 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
302 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Gandzasar vs Noah II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gandzasar saw off Noah II 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gandzasar as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Gandzasar vs Noah II?
Gandzasar 2-0 Noah II in the Armenia - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gandzasar vs Noah II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gandzasar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gandzasar 44%, draw 28%, Noah II 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gandzasar) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Gandzasar)
✗ BTTS Yes
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