17/03/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-1
Shirak II vs Pyunik II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
39%
Home Win
41%
23%
Draw
30%
38%
Away Win
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shirak II v Pyunik II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Shirak II
The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Pyunik II
The Market 32%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
298 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
333 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Shirak II vs Pyunik II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Shirak II nicked a narrow win over Pyunik II 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Shirak II made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Shirak II vs Pyunik II?
Shirak II 2-1 Pyunik II in the Armenia - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shirak II vs Pyunik II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Shirak II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shirak II 39%, draw 23%, Pyunik II 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shirak II) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Shirak II)
✗ Under 2.5
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