Chelsea vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
Chelsea
İNP
2-1
HT 0-0
Leicester City
İNP
1-1
HT 1-1
Leicester City
İNP
0-3
HT 0-2
Chelsea
İNP
2-1
HT 0-0
Leicester City
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
Leicester City
FAK
Chelsea 4-2 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea saw off Leicester City 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Chelsea had 59% of the ball to Leicester City's 41%, shots finished 26-5, expected goals 4.38 to 0.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Chelsea and 0.83 for Leicester City.
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Leicester City?
Chelsea 4-2 Leicester City in the England - FA Cup on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Leicester City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 49%, draw 25%, Leicester City 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.