Guastatoya 1-1 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 17 Mar 2024

Guastatoya
1-1 HT 1-1
Xelaju MC
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2023/2024

Guastatoya vs Xelaju MC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.0pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guastatoya v Xelaju MC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 23%
+16% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.89/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.02
+38% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +41%
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
453 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.5

Guastatoya vs Xelaju MC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
2 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
21.05.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
17.05.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
07.05.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-3 HT 0-3 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
05.03.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
23.10.2022 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-1 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya and Xelaju MC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Guastatoya at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guastatoya and 1.50 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Xelaju MC?

Guastatoya 1-1 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 43%, draw 30%, Xelaju MC 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guastatoya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
17 Mar 2024
01:00 Mixco vs Xinabajul Analysis →