Mixco 2-0 Xinabajul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.30/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.10
-8% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -39%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
406 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Xinabajul
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.11.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
06.04.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
12.02.2023 Mixco Mixco 2-2 HT 1-2 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
24.10.2022 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
14.08.2022 Mixco Mixco 2-0 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mixco
2-0
AWAY Xinabajul
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Xinabajul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco saw off Xinabajul 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mixco as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mixco had 52% of the ball to Xinabajul's 48%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mixco had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mixco and 0.60 for Xinabajul.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Xinabajul?

Mixco 2-0 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Xinabajul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mixco 49%, draw 23%, Xinabajul 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mixco), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mixco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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