Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 17 Mar 2024

Renofa Yamaguchi
0-1 HT 0-1
V-Varen Nagasaki
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒07:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Renofa Yamaguchi vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Renofa Yamaguchi v V-Varen Nagasaki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.18/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.83
+6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
334 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.9

Renofa Yamaguchi vs V-Varen Nagasaki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
298 Passes 388
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.07.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 HT 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
03.06.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 HT 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
15.10.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 HT 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
22.05.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 HT 0-2 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
25.09.2021 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-3 HT 0-2 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
29.05.2021 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 3-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2

Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
0-1
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki squeezed past Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day V-Varen Nagasaki made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 57% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 43%, shots finished 18-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.50 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 31%, draw 29%, V-Varen Nagasaki 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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