Roasso Kumamoto 0-6 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.33/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.01
+2% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Iwaki
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 2-4 HT 2-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
03.06.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 0-4 HT 0-2 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
0-6
AWAY Iwaki
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki cruised past Roasso Kumamoto 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Iwaki made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 48% of the ball to Iwaki's 52%, shots finished 7-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 2.00 for Iwaki.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Iwaki?

Roasso Kumamoto 0-6 Iwaki in the Japan - J2 League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 38%, draw 25%, Iwaki 37%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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