Grulla Morioka 1-3 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
0.98/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.81
-31% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grulla Morioka
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-1 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
22.07.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-0 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
09.10.2021 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 2-1 HT 2-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
21.03.2021 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-1 HT 0-1 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
14.11.2020 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-0 HT 1-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
06.09.2020 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 2-0 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grulla Morioka
1-3
AWAY Gainare Tottori
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grulla Morioka vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori beat Grulla Morioka 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 35%) promised a tight game; Gainare Tottori found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Grulla Morioka had 52% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 48%, shots finished 21-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grulla Morioka had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grulla Morioka and 0.67 for Gainare Tottori.

What was the final score of Grulla Morioka vs Gainare Tottori?

Grulla Morioka 1-3 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grulla Morioka vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grulla Morioka win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Grulla Morioka 40%, draw 24%, Gainare Tottori 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grulla Morioka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grulla Morioka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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