Kozarmisleny 2-1 Mosonmagyarovari TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.4pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kozarmisleny EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosonmagyarovari TE EU Bookmakers 19%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -3%
4.38/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.36
+142% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kozarmisleny
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Mosonmagyarovari TE
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Mosonmagyarovari TE Mosonmagyarovari TE 1-1 HT 0-0 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny MAC2
12.04.2023 Mosonmagyarovari TE Mosonmagyarovari TE 0-1 HT 0-0 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny MAC2
16.10.2022 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny 0-4 HT 0-1 Mosonmagyarovari TE Mosonmagyarovari TE MAC2
POST-MATCH Kozarmisleny vs Mosonmagyarovari TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kozarmisleny nicked a narrow win over Mosonmagyarovari TE 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kozarmisleny as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kozarmisleny and 1.67 for Mosonmagyarovari TE.

What was the final score of Kozarmisleny vs Mosonmagyarovari TE?

Kozarmisleny 2-1 Mosonmagyarovari TE in the Hungary - NB II on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kozarmisleny vs Mosonmagyarovari TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kozarmisleny win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kozarmisleny 51%, draw 28%, Mosonmagyarovari TE 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kozarmisleny) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kozarmisleny) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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