Siofok 1-1 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 17 Mar 2024

Siofok
1-1 HT 1-0
Ajka
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.9pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siofok EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.12/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.20
+4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siofok
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ajka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
24.09.2023 Ajka Ajka 0-2 HT 0-0 Siofok Siofok MAC2
19.03.2023 Siofok Siofok 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
02.10.2022 Ajka Ajka 3-1 HT 2-1 Siofok Siofok MAC2
30.01.2022 Siofok Siofok 2-1 HT 1-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
08.08.2021 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 0-1 Siofok Siofok MAC2
16.09.2020 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 1-0 Siofok Siofok MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Siofok
1-1
AWAY Ajka
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Siofok vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siofok and Ajka couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ajka at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Siofok had 41% of the ball to Ajka's 59%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Siofok and 1.33 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Siofok vs Ajka?

Siofok 1-1 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siofok vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Siofok 34%, draw 23%, Ajka 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ajka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC2 More Hungary - NB II
17 Mar 2024
16:00 Gyirmot vs Budapest Vasas Analysis →
16:00 Budapest Honved vs Soroksar Analysis →
16:00 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Szeged 2011 Analysis →
16:00 BVSC vs Kazincbarcika Analysis →
16:00 Kozarmisleny vs Mosonmagyarovari TE Analysis →
19:00 Tiszakecske vs Budafoki MTE Analysis →