Diriangen 4-2 Orgánica Masachapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.16
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.74
Over 2.5
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.27
No
47%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-17.9pp
22%
Draw
13%
+8.7pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
33%
+4.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
67%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
40%
+13.0pp
47%
BTTS No
60%
-13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriangen EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Orgánica Masachapa EU Bookmakers 8%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.24/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.88
-9% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +24%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
542 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriangen
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Orgánica Masachapa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.01.2024 Orgánica Masachapa 0-2 HT 0-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
28.09.2023 Orgánica Masachapa 2-1 HT 0-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
30.07.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 0-2 HT 0-1 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diriangen
4-2
AWAY Orgánica Masachapa
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Diriangen vs Orgánica Masachapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen beat Orgánica Masachapa 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Diriangen had 60% of the ball to Orgánica Masachapa's 40%, shots finished 22-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Orgánica Masachapa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Diriangen and 1.33 for Orgánica Masachapa.

What was the final score of Diriangen vs Orgánica Masachapa?

Diriangen 4-2 Orgánica Masachapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriangen vs Orgánica Masachapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Diriangen 64%, draw 22%, Orgánica Masachapa 15%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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