Export Sebaco 1-1 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
2.12/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.40
+38% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
389 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Jalapa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 1-2 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
29.11.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-0 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
27.09.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 1-1 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
31.07.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-0 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
06.03.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
01.12.2022 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco and Jalapa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Export Sebaco at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Export Sebaco and 0.33 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs Jalapa?

Export Sebaco 1-1 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 49%, draw 22%, Jalapa 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Export Sebaco), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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