Bistrica 1-3 Triglav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Triglav EU Bookmakers 33%
+19% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.34/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.20
+47% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Triglav
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Triglav Triglav 2-1 HT 1-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
29.04.2023 Triglav Triglav 2-3 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
15.10.2022 Bistrica Bistrica 1-1 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bistrica
1-3
AWAY Triglav
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs Triglav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav got the better of Bistrica 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Triglav found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bistrica had 50% of the ball to Triglav's 50%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bistrica and 1.67 for Triglav.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs Triglav?

Bistrica 1-3 Triglav in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Triglav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 40%, draw 27%, Triglav 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bistrica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bistrica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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