NK Brinje 1-0 Tolmin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.4pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Brinje EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Tolmin EU Bookmakers 19%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.85/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.33
+3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Brinje
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tolmin
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.09.2023 Tolmin Tolmin 0-3 HT 0-2 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
POST-MATCH NK Brinje vs Tolmin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Brinje edged past Tolmin 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NK Brinje as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of NK Brinje vs Tolmin?

NK Brinje 1-0 Tolmin in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Brinje vs Tolmin?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Brinje win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split NK Brinje 57%, draw 20%, Tolmin 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Brinje), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NK Brinje) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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