17/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
NK Brinje vs Tolmin Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
20%
Draw
21%
23%
Away Win
16%
47%
Under 2.5
50%
53%
Over 2.5
50%
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
53%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NK Brinje v Tolmin — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
NK Brinje
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tolmin
EU Bookmakers 19%
-31% /
-31%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
1.85/1.22
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.48/1.33
+3%
/
-22%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-55%
/
+34%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
393 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
244 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
NK Brinje vs Tolmin Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
NK Brinje
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Tolmin
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
65%
Ball Possession
35%
17
Total Shots
2
6
Shots on Target
1
4
Corners
0
2
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
04.09.2023
Tolmin
0-3
HT 0-2
NK Brinje
SLVN2
0-3
HT 0-2
NK Brinje
SLVN2
POST-MATCH
NK Brinje vs Tolmin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
NK Brinje edged past Tolmin 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NK Brinje as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of NK Brinje vs Tolmin?
NK Brinje 1-0 Tolmin in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NK Brinje vs Tolmin?
Before kick-off our model rated a NK Brinje win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split NK Brinje 57%, draw 20%, Tolmin 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Brinje), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (NK Brinje)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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More Slovenia - 2.SNL
17 Mar 2024