Celje 2-1 Radomlje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
25%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
69%
-16.5pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+12.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomlje EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.90/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.77
-6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
406 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Radomlje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 0-4 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
23.09.2023 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
01.04.2023 Celje Celje 1-1 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
11.12.2022 Radomlje Radomlje 0-3 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
02.10.2022 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
22.07.2022 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
2-1
AWAY Radomlje
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Celje vs Radomlje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje edged past Radomlje 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Celje had 62% of the ball to Radomlje's 38%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Celje and 0.50 for Radomlje.

What was the final score of Celje vs Radomlje?

Celje 2-1 Radomlje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Radomlje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Celje 52%, draw 23%, Radomlje 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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